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Sam Darnold’s 4,000-Yard Odds Are Better Than Mahomes, and the 12s Are Hyped

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Seattle Seahawks logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

Sam Darnold, our Seahawks quarterback, is listed with +175 odds to top 4,000 passing yards this season, a feat he accomplished just last year in 2025. That’s a huge deal for the Emerald City, especially when you consider only six quarterbacks across the entire league hit that mark in 2025, and Darnold was one of them! Our guy is already proving he belongs in that elite conversation, and we’re hyped to see what he brings to the Lumen Field turf.

Our Guy’s Got History and the Hype

For those keeping score at home, Darnold wasn’t just a one-off in 2025. He also found himself on that exclusive 4,000-yard list back in 2024, showing he’s got the arm and the grit to consistently put up big numbers. Think about it: only Jared Goff and Darnold made that list in consecutive seasons. That stat alone tells you everything about our QB’s potential and consistency heading into this season with Mike Macdonald and Brian Fleury dialing up the plays. He’s been there, done that, and he’s ready to prove it again for the 12s. Seeing our leader consistently push for that kind of yardage means our offense is going to be electric, week in and week out.

The Top Dogs and a Shocking Slip

While Darnold is looking good for us, let’s peek at the top of the odds board. Jared Goff is the clear favorite at -135 to clear 4,000 yards again. The Lions QB has straight-up owned this milestone, doing it in six of his ten NFL seasons, including an impressive four straight years. Joe Burrow and Dak Prescott are also right there at -110. Burrow, when he’s healthy, just cruises past this number with ease, but those injuries have cost him in other years. Prescott’s no slouch either, surpassing 4,400 passing yards in three of his last five seasons. He was actually third in the NFL last season, throwing for a crazy 4,552 yards! These guys are legit, so for Darnold to be in their company is a huge testament to his game.

But here’s the absolute kicker, the head-scratcher that makes our Sam Darnold’s odds stand out even more: Patrick Mahomes, a two-time MVP, is surprisingly at +185 to reach 4,000 yards. Yeah, you read that right, my friend. Our QB has *better* odds than Mahomes to hit that mark this season. Mahomes only led the league in passing yards once, back in 2022 with a career-high 5,250 yards. But then last season, he hit a career-low 3,587 passing yards. He battled an inconsistent offensive line and receiving corps, then missed the final three games with a torn ACL. He’s been fully cleared and ready for Week 1, but the oddsmakers are still putting Sam ahead of him on the path to 4,000. That’s a huge vote of confidence for our guy!

What’s Next for the Hawks

With our Seahawks heading into a fresh new season, seeing Sam Darnold’s name right there among the league’s top passers, with better odds than a fully cleared Patrick Mahomes, means big things for our entire offense. Can Darnold sling it for 4,000+ yards again this year with targets like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rashid Shaheed, and Cooper Kupp? We’re talking about a season where our quarterback could consistently be in elite company. The 12s are absolutely ready for him to make some serious noise and light up the scoreboard for the Emerald City! Let’s go Hawks!

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Fox Sports.

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