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That 4.69 Number From Rashee Rice? It’s Telling You Everything About These Fantasy Fades.

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Kansas City Chiefs logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

Forget the hype: as the 2026 NFL season gets ready to roll, some of the fantasy football world’s sharpest minds are waving massive red flags on wide receivers you might be eyeing, including one name linked to an absolutely wild stat. Top analysts are calling out specific wideouts to avoid in your drafts, and their reasons are crystal clear.

Rashee Rice’s Role is Vanishing Faster Than a Seattle Summer Day

Matt Harmon from Yahoo isn’t holding back on Rashee Rice, and honestly, the numbers back him up. We’re talking 112 wide receivers running 600 or more routes since 2023, and Rice? He’s dead last at 112th with a measly 4.69 air yards per target. The guy above him, Greg Dortch, is at 5.23, and that’s a decent gap! This ain’t just some random stat, folks. Harmon points out that with Kenneth Walker III now in town to anchor a real-deal rushing game for the Chiefs, those “extension of the run game targets” that Rice got, especially near the goal line, could vanish. Remember how underwhelming the Chiefs offense was last year, despite funneling so many short targets to Rice? They’ve got every incentive to change it up, and that means a potential headache for anyone drafting Rice.

Mike Evans’ Injury History is Haunting His Production

Then there’s the veteran presence, Mike Evans, over in San Francisco, and Justin Boone sees those red flags flying high. The dude is 33 years old, and he’s been sidelined for practices this summer with lower-body soft tissue injuries , the kind that have been haunting him for years. We’re talking 12 missed games over the last two seasons, hamstring issues literally every year since 2019! That’s a brutal track record, and it doesn’t just go away. On top of that, he’s coming off what Boone calls his “worst statistical season,” hitting career lows in just about everything: yards per target, yards after the catch per reception, even catch rate. Sure, the 49ers’ offense has potential for big numbers, and Evans always has that touchdown upside, but the durability questions are impossible to ignore. Plus, the target share is getting crowded: De’Zhaun Stribling is emerging, George Kittle is expected back in the opening weeks, Deebo Samuel Sr. is in the mix, and Christian McCaffrey is still commanding his usual monster volume. Evans might flash top-24 upside when he’s actually on the field, but Boone’s warning him as a seriously risky fantasy WR3.

Carnell Tate’s Skillset Isn’t Built for Early Fantasy Success

Finally, we’ve got Carnell Tate with the Titans, a guy who had some serious hype going into the draft. One analyst even compared him to legends like DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley, and Jeremy Maclin, calling him their ninth overall player. He’s only 21 and polished for an early declare, no doubt. But here’s the kicker: his skillset just isn’t screaming “fantasy friendly.” He’s mostly an outside guy, running those vertical routes, and while his speed and ability to break tackles are fine, they aren’t elite. This means there’s less reason for the Titans to force him those 2-3 “easy receptions” per game that make other wideouts so valuable. That money role? It’s going to slot receiver Wan’Dale Robinson, whether we like it or not. So, don’t get sucked in by the draft pedigree; the role simply isn’t there for instant fantasy goodness.

So, as you get ready to hit that draft button for the 2026 season, remember these names. Avoiding these specific wideouts isn’t just about dodging busts; it’s about setting your team up right from day one. Fantasy championships are won and lost on these early calls, so pay attention to the trends, especially when analysts are this clear about who to steer clear of. Let’s get it, Seattle, and crush those drafts!

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.

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