Florida State created four turnovers last Monday night and still couldn’t cover as a 3-point underdog, falling 27-24 to SMU. That game was a push for the column, but hopefully a win for anyone who snagged +3.5 closer to kickoff. Boy, did it feel good to sweat some football bets again! We’re here for the informed wagers, and trust me, I vet everything with multiple handicappers, oddsmakers, and betting buddies who really know their stuff. Those who do well in this racket understand the “How, what, and why,” and that’s always the goal here. This isn’t the spot for a million picks or wild five-team parlays. These are the wagers I love the most, the ones I’m betting with my own money. My record for the year sits at 1-2-1, down 1.2 units, but we’re just getting started. Let’s dig in.
College Football’s Early Shocks and Steals
Alright, so Florida Atlantic got absolutely demolished by Florida last week, a brutal 66-21 drubbing. You might be asking yourself why I’m even looking their way after that. But hold up, don’t write off the Owls just yet! They actually moved the ball surprisingly well against that SEC defense, racking up a solid 396 yards. That ain’t too shabby, right? Life’s gonna be way easier against Navy, a program that just doesn’t have the same type of athleticism and speed Florida boasts. Plus, I’m a huge fan of veteran FAU quarterback Caden Veltkamp. I’m telling you, the Owls are totally ripe to pull an upset at home here. This could be a steal!
Then we’ve got Alabama heading to Lexington after bulldozing East Carolina last weekend for a very early SEC tilt. This is a huge moment, the first collegiate road start for freshman quarterback Keelon Russell. He improvised a ton against the Pirates, running for 6.6 yards per rush. I’m sorry, but that kind of escapability is not gonna happen against Kentucky. If the Wildcats can limit Russell’s scrambling and keep him in the pocket, they’ll have every chance to hang inside this big number.
NFL’s Big Questions: Overvalued or Overhyped?
Now, let’s talk NFL. The Chicago Bears are, simply put, one of the most overvalued teams in the entire betting market. Their prices to win the conference and the Super Bowl are insane, especially given all the major question marks on the defensive side of the ball. Yeah, there’s a lot to like about the Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams partnership, no doubt. But this line is just too fishy. I’m taking Carolina, coming off a playoff berth, and catching a full field goal in its home opener against the Bears.
Speaking of teams getting way too much hype, meet the Green Bay Packers. Defensive superstar Micah Parsons isn’t walking through that door for weeks, and honestly, I’ve never been a big believer in Jordan Love to begin with. Meanwhile, you have Minnesota, who brings back most of the key pieces from a top-10 defense. And Kyler Murray is… well, we’ll get to him when that story fully unfolds. Oh man, you gotta love that Minnesota squad this year! They’ve got their starting head coach, both coordinators, and their starting quarterback all returning. And get this: Anthony Smith, the guy who led the Big Ten in sacks last year, he’s back! Mississippi State’s Kamario Taylor wowed us with 354 yards and four touchdowns against Louisiana-Monroe last week, but now he has to face a REAL defense, one headlined by Smith. That’s a whole different ballgame.
This early season is already shaping up to be wild. These are the bets I’m putting my own money on. We’re in for a rollercoaster ride, folks!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Fox Sports.
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