Joe Burrow is already back at the top of the betting odds for both most regular-season passing yards and passing touchdowns, but if you’re throwing down any cash, you’re betting big on his health. The guy is a machine when he’s on the field, but his history of missing games makes those odds a total wild card heading into the 2026 NFL season. It’s a classic high-reward, high-risk situation, and it just dropped with the latest DraftKings Sportsbook odds on July 20.
The Passing Yards Race Is Already Wild
Forget generic predictions, the yardage race is going to be insane! Burrow is the co-favorite at +750 for most regular-season passing yards, and honestly, you get it. Back in 2024, the last time he started all 17 regular-season games, he was absolutely lights-out. He led the NFL in passing attempts with a staggering 652, completions with 460, and piled up 4,918 passing yards. Plus, he did all that while completing a stellar 70.6% of his passes. The dude can sling it. But here’s the kicker: he’s started 10 or fewer games in three of his six professional seasons. That’s a huge question mark that hangs over his otherwise undeniable talent.
Right there with Burrow at +750 are Jared Goff and Dak Prescott. Goff is an absolute iron man, having not missed a regular-season game since 2021. He’s dropped at least 4,000 passing yards in six of his 10 pro seasons, including four straight! Last year, he was second in the league with 4,564 passing yards. Prescott isn’t far behind, leading the NFL in completions in two of the last three regular seasons and finishing third in passing yards last year with 4,552. Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Drake Maye, and Brock Purdy are all right in the mix, too, showing just how stacked this year’s passing yardage battle is going to be.
Touchdown King: Who’s Got the Arm?
When it comes to throwing for scores, Burrow is also the top dog on the odds board at +550. Again, his 2024 performance speaks volumes: 43 passing touchdowns, leading the NFL. He wasn’t just racking up yards that year, he was finishing drives, also leading the league in passing first downs with 253 and averaging 289.3 passing yards per game. If he stays healthy, there’s no doubt he can put up those numbers again.
But don’t count out Matthew Stafford, who’s sitting second at +650. Last season, he put up monster numbers with 4,707 passing yards and 46 passing touchdowns. He was the *only* quarterback to eclipse 40 regular-season passing touchdowns, which is wild! Goff finished second with 34, Drake Maye had 31, and Prescott tossed 30. That kind of production is no joke, and Stafford clearly proved he’s got plenty left in the tank to be a TD machine. This upcoming regular season is going to be an absolute shootout for the passing crowns, and we can’t wait to see who steps up and takes it.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
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