SportsLine expert Angelo “Amags” Magliocca just dropped his latest MLB home run props picks for today, Monday, July 20, 2026, and if you know Amags, you know it’s time to pay attention. This guy isn’t just taking wild swings, he’s delivering pure, unadulterated baseball wisdom, backed by a track record that screams success. Get ready for some serious dingers, because Amags has the inside scoop.
The Guru Who Knows Dingers
Let’s talk about Amags for a second, because his track record is nothing short of insane. This isn’t some fair-weather fan making calls, this is a hugely profitable MLB handicapper who has been finding incredible value in player props, sides, and totals for years. Over the 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 MLB seasons, Amags is up a whopping 133.4 units on straight bets and parlays! And if that wasn’t enough, he tacked on an additional 25.3 units on ladder plays. The man bleeds baseball, he lives and breathes the stats, and when he talks home runs, you absolutely listen. With a full 15-game slate on deck for today, there are hundreds of options for home run wagers, but Amags has cut through the noise to narrow it down to the real difference-makers who are poised to go deep.
Curtis Mead’s Matchup From Hell (For the Pitcher!)
First up on Amags’ hit list is Curtis Mead at a sweet +360. And the reasoning for this one is tighter than a drum. Mead is going up against Kyle Freeland, who has been absolutely shelled by right-handed batters this season. Freeland has coughed up 16 home runs in just 65 innings to righties, and get this, he’s walked 17 right-handers in that same timeframe. Are you kidding me? He’s getting barreled up 12% of the time and hit hard at nearly a 60% clip by righties! That’s not just a pitcher in trouble, folks, that’s a pitcher on the brink.
Mead, the Nationals slugger, has been feasting on left-handed pitching all year, with seven of his 17 homers coming against southpaws in just over 100 at-bats, giving him a ridiculous .521 slugging percentage. He loves to smash fastballs, and what does Freeland throw most to righties? His four-seam fastball! He even throws the cutter over 20% of the time. We’re talking almost half the pitches being fastballs or a variation, and neither pitch has been effective for Freeland, showing expected wOBAs of .401 and .350 respectively. Honestly, Freeland’s expected stats against righties are just horrendous. His only hope to get Mead out is to rely heavily on breaking stuff, which is a desperate move. Add in the Colorado ballpark’s 100-degree weather and highest altitude, plus Mead hitting near the top of the order with a clear platoon advantage, and you have to feel beyond good about this one. Amags called it “set it and forget it territory,” and I’m right there with him!
Other Bombs Away Calls for Monday
But Amags isn’t stopping there. He’s also eyeing up Fernando Tatis Jr. at +450, Manny Machado also at +450, and Esmerlyn Valdez at +310. These are all big names with serious pop, guys who can change a game with one swing. If Amags says they’re going to launch, you better believe he’s crunched the numbers and sees the opportunities. These aren’t just guesses, these are calculated plays from a proven winner.
Today’s slate promises some serious fireworks across MLB, and these picks from Amags are making it even more exciting. Grab your snacks, settle in, and keep your eyes glued to the box scores tonight, because we’re expecting some moonshots. Let’s see these bats catch fire and these balls fly out of the park!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Leave a Reply