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Sonny Gray Could Walk Away With $10 Million: Why It Blows Up Boston’s Offseason Plans

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Boston Red Sox logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

The Boston Red Sox are deep in a postseason push this September, but trust me, once 2026 wraps, a massive $30 million question looms large. It’s all thanks to ace Sonny Gray, and this decision could define the Red Sox’s immediate future.

The Unavoidable $30 Million Problem

Here’s the deal: Sonny Gray has a $30 million mutual option for the 2027 season. Tim Kelly of Bleacher Report broke it down: Gray, at 37 next season, likely won’t command more than $30 million for 2027 as a free agent. Sounds simple, right? Wrong. If Gray declines, the Red Sox owe him a $10 million buyout. That’s a significant hit.

Boston will absolutely accept their side of that $30 million option. Why? Because Gray’s been phenomenal this season. He’s rocking a 2.76 ERA and a ridiculous 17-5 record in 2026. You don’t let that production walk away easily. He’s been a key starter, pitching lights out and deserving of a big contract.

Gray’s Golden Ticket to the Open Market

But here’s where it gets wild for Boston: it would be zero surprise if Gray looks at that $10 million buyout and says, ‘Thanks for the cash, I’m out!’ He could decline, pocket the $10 million, then hit the open market seeking a sweet $20 million per-year contract. Even at his age, his incredible 2026 season makes him super attractive to any team craving an immediate impact arm.

The real kicker? Gray could leverage his year into a two-year, $40 million deal on the open market. This guarantees him an extra $20 million in 2028, regardless of his 2027 performance or health. That’s massive security for a pitcher in his late thirties. Why wouldn’t he lock in that kind of money when he’s earned every bit of it? This is a truly tough spot.

This whole thing falls squarely on Craig Breslow’s shoulders. He needs to manage this with precision. The Red Sox are at real risk of losing a key starter and being out $10 million. As they fight for every win, every fan needs to eye what’s coming after 2026. The clock is ticking on Gray’s $30 million question, and it’s going to be one wild offseason for Boston.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by The Sporting News.

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