Liberty is rolling into Brooks Stadium this Thursday night, coming off a massive 51-15 smackdown against Ball State, and they are absolutely hungry for their third straight win. Coastal Carolina, however, is limping into the non-conference matchup at 1-2 after taking a tough 22-14 loss to Delaware on the same day. It’s Week 4 in college football, and this clash in Conway, S.C., set for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff, has some serious storylines bubbling, not least of which involves a familiar face on the opposing sideline.
Chadwell’s Return to the Conway Turf
Talk about awkward family reunions! Liberty’s head coach, Jamey Chadwell, isn’t just leading his Flames into Brooks Stadium; he’s walking back onto the very field where he commanded the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers from 2019-22. You know that has to be a little weird! This rivalry has been tight historically, with Liberty holding a slim 8-7 lead in the all-time series. And if you think Chadwell has forgotten their last meeting, think again. He was on the *other* side in 2020 when Liberty snatched a nail-biting 37-34 overtime win in the Cure Bowl. The stakes are definitely higher when there’s history like this.
The SportsLine Model Has Spoken
So, what are the smart money folks saying about this one? Liberty rolls in as a 2.5-point favorite in the latest odds, with the total points set at 50.5. Liberty’s money line is -133, while Coastal Carolina stands at +112. But here’s where it gets interesting: the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every single FBS game a whopping 10,000 times, has weighed in. This model isn’t messing around either; it’s off to a profitable 22-19 start on all its top-rated college football picks this season, and it even got a fresh upgrade for 2026 to better factor in the wild world of the transfer portal. And its big pick for this game? It’s hammering the *Over* on 50.5 total points.
Why You Should Love the Over Call
When the model says “Over,” you pay attention, especially when the numbers back it up. That 2020 Cure Bowl thriller, where Liberty snagged that 37-34 OT win? Yeah, that game *cleared* the Over easily. Looking at recent trends, the Over has hit in six of Liberty’s last ten games, and even more impressively, it’s landed in seven of the past ten for Coastal Carolina. Both these teams have a knack for putting up points or letting them be scored. Remember Liberty’s 51-15 win last week? Junior quarterback Deshawn Purdie was slinging it, racking up 211 yards and three touchdowns, with twelve different players carrying the ball for the Flames. They can move the chains. Coastal better be ready for a shootout because the model thinks the scoreboard lights are going to be blazing!
This Thursday night is shaping up to be a high-octane battle down in Conway. Liberty is looking to extend their win streak, with their coach facing his old team, while Coastal Carolina desperately needs to turn their season around. With the SportsLine model screaming Over 50.5 points, all eyes will be on Brooks Stadium to see if these two teams can light up the scoreboard like we expect. Don’t miss it!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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