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Less Than 10 WAR From Half a Billion in Contracts: What the Giants’ Future Really Holds

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San Francisco Giants logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

The San Francisco Giants were straight up disappointing in 2026, failing to meet expectations as an organization. The biggest problem they’re staring down right now? It’s etched into contracts totaling over half a billion dollars, locking up players for years to come. This isn’t just about one bad season, folks, this is about financial handcuffs that could sink them for a long, long time.

The Buck Stops with Posey: Why the Giants’ Failures Run Deep

You might think this whole mess falls squarely on first-year manager Tony Vitello. But nope, that’s probably not fair. ESPN’s David Schoenfield put it: President of baseball operations Buster Posey has voiced full support for Vitello, meaning the manager is likely returning for 2027. So, the pressure to “figure this out” as Schoenfield said, is squarely on Buster Posey. He’s the one who needs to fix this organization-wide failure. This isn’t just a coaching issue; it’s a front office problem, especially with massive cash tied up in everyday players who simply didn’t deliver. Large contracts for aging players are going to make it seriously difficult for the Giants to bounce back in 2027, and honestly, for seasons beyond that.

Half a Billion Tied Up in Underperformance: The Contract Nightmare

Let’s talk numbers, because these are absolutely brutal for San Francisco fans. The Giants are on the hook for four players to the tune of over half a billion dollars over the next several years. Schoenfield broke it down: Rafael Devers, despite rebounding from a terrible start, is signed for seven more years and a staggering $223 million. Then there’s Willy Adames, owed $155.5 million for five years. Matt Chapman clocks in at just over $100 million for four years, and Jung Hoo Lee is locked up for $65 million over three. Four players, over half a billion dollars. And what did this group combine for? Less than 10 WAR. That kind of return for that kind of money is just mind-blowing.

Now, Devers did finish strong before his core muscle surgery, hitting .272 with eight home runs, five doubles, and posting a ridiculous .928 OPS in August. He even mashed seven homers in just 38 at-bats in September! But even with that strong finish, the cold, hard fact remains: the Giants owe Devers, and the other three, a mountain of money well into their thirties. Schoenfield points out that in all likelihood, these contracts are practically untradeable without the Giants eating most of the cash. That’s a brutal reality for any team trying to build for the future.

What Now for the Giants?

So, what does this all mean for the Giants? They’re facing a monumental uphill battle. With so much capital tied up in underperforming players, and those contracts basically cemented, their flexibility is shot. Buster Posey has a massive challenge on his hands. Can he navigate these financial handcuffs and somehow find a path to contention, or are these mega contracts going to be an albatross, making 2027 and beyond just as “greatly disappointing” as 2026? It’s going to be a wild ride.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by The Sporting News.

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