D’Andre Swift is sitting pretty as the RB4 right now, a mind-blowing jump from his preseason RB19 ADP. Talk about exceeding expectations! This dude blew up with a 32.4-point explosion in Week 1, when the Bears absolutely torched the Panthers for 59 points. The fantasy market just did not see this kind of volume coming, and for good reason. Normally, he just would not get enough touches to keep this kind of production going.
David Montgomery: The Alarm Bells Are Ringing LOUD
While Swift is soaring, let’s talk about David Montgomery. Yeah, he blew up in Week 1 for Houston with three touchdowns in his debut, but Week 2 was a total dumpster fire. Optimists are shrugging it off, pointing to his current RB12 status and that he’s on pace for a healthy 264 touches. Woody Marks hasn’t exactly been challenging him for touches, so it looks good on the surface, right?
Not so fast, buddy. This summer, we flagged two huge red flags for Montgomery. First, his offensive line in Houston is a downgrade from what he had in Detroit. Second, his broken-tackle rate last season was abysmal: just three broken tackles on 182 touches. Now, he’s got one broken tackle on 31 touches, but get this: his yards-after-first-contact is a pathetic 1.0. That’s one of the lowest you will ever see from a starter. Plus, he’s only averaging 2.7 yards per carry against the Bengals and the Bills. We are talking tough games ahead, too! If you listened to me after Week 1 and sold high, you’re looking smart. If not, it’s probably not too late to unload him.
D’Andre Swift: Can He Keep This Up?
Back to Swift. His 40 touches through two games put him on pace for an insane 340 touches for the season. That is more than 10% above his all-time high in the regular season. If he can actually stay healthy, Swift could genuinely be on track for a career year. However, don’t get it twisted and think he is suddenly near-elite. His realistic ceiling is probably closer to the top 10-12 range.
So, what does this all mean as we head into Week 3? Montgomery is facing tougher defenses and showing real weaknesses in his game; his value is only going to plummet. Swift has an incredible opportunity if he can keep that volume and avoid injury, but expect some regression from that Week 1 explosion. Keep an eye on his touch count, because that is the only way he sustains this surprising start.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.
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