The All-Star break is officially behind us, and MLB is back with a bang, bringing a full 15-game slate on Tuesday, July 21. What better way to jump back into the swing of things than with some monster home run prop bets? And get this: SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner, a dude who was up 50 units on his MLB home run picks last year, just dropped his top three plays for tonight, including a parlay that could pay out over 210-1. Yeah, you read that right, 210-1!
Fetner’s Hot Streak Continues Post-Break
This isn’t some shot-in-the-dark pick, either. Fetner was absolutely on fire heading into the All-Star break. We’re talking 17 correct home run picks over the final six weeks, including a ridiculous stretch of three straight days where he nailed at least one. He’s called some huge paydays recently, too, like the Nationals’ Luis Garcia Jr. at +600, the Giants’ Casey Schmitt at +590, and the Phillies’ Alec Bohm at a wild +820. He even hit a home run parlay bet a few weeks ago that paid out more than 30-1. When this guy talks, you listen.
Baldwin and Rumfield Primed to Go Yard
So, who’s on Fetner’s radar for Tuesday? Braves catcher Drake Baldwin is among his best MLB HR bets today, and for good reason. Baldwin has been absolutely crushing it since the All-Star break, logging three home runs in just four games. He’s got three homers in his last five home games, and Fetner notes he gets the platoon advantage against right-handed Walker Buehler. Baldwin is hitting .284 with a .866 OPS against right-handed pitching this season in 202 plate appearances, with 11 of his 18 home runs coming off righties. The numbers don’t lie, he’s dialed in against right-handers.
And don’t sleep on T.J. Rumfield from the Rockies, another prime pick. Rumfield also holds the platoon advantage, going up against right-hander Miles Mikolas. This season, Rumfield is hitting a stellar .311 with a .920 OPS against right-handed pitching in 281 plate appearances, with 11 of his 13 home runs coming off righties. Plus, Mikolas has been struggling with the long ball lately, giving up six home runs over his last five starts, including three multi-homer outings. Rumfield is also batting .313 over his last four games at home, making him a super compelling play. Alec Burleson from the Cardinals also made the list, completing Fetner’s trio.
Look, a full 15-game MLB schedule means plenty of chances for some fireworks. With Fetner’s track record and these specific matchups, Tuesday, July 21, could be one of those nights where a few well-placed bets turn into a massive payout. Are you gonna watch the games and wonder, or are you gonna be ready for some serious action?
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
Leave a Reply