This Week 4 showdown between the Houston Texans (0-3) and the Dallas Cowboys (1-2) is shaping up to be far more exciting than their records suggest, and honestly, the betting lines are wild. FanDuel has the Texans as a -2.5 favorite, which is absolutely astonishing given they haven’t looked competent on offense since the first half of their first game this season.
What in the World is This Spread Saying?
Seriously, an 0-3 team that can’t move the ball against even weak defenses, like the Colts, is favored against a 1-2 Cowboys squad that has put up 20, 37, and 31 points? That just doesn’t compute. You know Reliant Stadium won’t be rocking if Houston falls behind early, and who could blame them? For any casual bettor, taking the opponent and the extra points seems like a no brainer until the Texans actually win a game. Houston’s struggles are real, and their offensive form does not bode well for their chances against a high-powered Cowboys attack.
Can This Defense Hold and What’s the Coaching Vibe?
The moneyline for this one, Texans -136, makes you scratch your head even more. The Texans are 3-4 all time against the Cowboys, but given their current struggles, it’s hard to see them stealing a win. A big part of that is the defense, which needs to keep a lid on the Cowboys’ passing game. Derek Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter have not impressed so far, and that’s concerning when they’re staring down guys like CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Plus, you’ve got Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans saying things like, “Nope my impact is just fine,” and “Nope, we’re all in this thing together,” when asked about making offensive changes including Nick Caley calling plays. That doesn’t exactly scream “we’re about to turn this thing around.”
The Over/Under and a Key Return
The Over/Under is set at 47.5, which feels a tad elevated compared to their previous lines. Houston went well under 44.5 against the Colts and 45.5 against the Bengals, though they did blow past the Over/Under in a high scoring matchup against the Bills. With Dallas’s high octane offense, that number makes sense, but Houston’s current offensive woes usually point to the under. Here’s the kicker though: if Nico Collins is back in the lineup, things change. His presence unlocks their passing game and eases pressure on the run. Combine that with a Cowboys defense that has been, frankly, porous (giving up 28, 20, and 34 points in their first three matchups), and you might consider the over if Collins is good to go on Sunday.
This Week 4 matchup is competitive and integral for both these Texas teams, who are desperate to turn their seasons around. They are genuinely vying to keep their seasons alive early in the 2026 campaign.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Battle Red Blog.
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