Seattle sports, on tap daily

T.J. Hockenson’s Top 10 Status Is OUT for Week 5, and the Saints Defense Is Why

New Orleans Saints logo on gradient background

Written by

in

New Orleans Saints logo on gradient background
New Orleans Saints logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

Alright, fantasy managers, get ready to pivot because the proven computer model at SportsLine just dropped a bombshell for Week 5: Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson, a guy who’s been balling out as a top 10 player at his position, is barely cracking the top 20 in the latest rankings. This is a massive shift, and if you have Hockenson on your squad, you absolutely need to pay attention.

Bye Weeks and Injury Chaos Are Wrecking Lineups

Look, it’s Week 5, and the bye weeks are officially here to mess with your carefully crafted lineups. We’ve only got two teams, the Chiefs and Panthers, on a bye this time, but that’s just the start of the chaos for the next two months. Less options, more headaches, right? And on top of that, the injury report is a minefield. Lamar Jackson (ankle), Breece Hall (quad), and Saquon Barkley (hamstring) are all ruled out, forcing big changes for anyone relying on those guys. Marvin Harrison Jr. is also sidelined with a pending trade. Then you’ve got the “uncertain” crew: Ja’Marr Chase (concussion), DJ Moore (shoulder), and Ashton Jeanty (ankle/foot) are all questionable. If you’ve got any of these players, you’re scrambling for replacements, and those 100-yard performances from Ollie Gordon, Keon Coleman, and Carnell Tate last Sunday suddenly look a lot more appealing for start-sit decisions.

The Model Just Threw a Wrench in Your Hockenson Hopes

This SportsLine model, which has consistently beaten human experts over the past several seasons and nailed calls on guys like A.J. Brown and Christian McCaffrey, is telling us something wild about Hockenson. Just last Sunday, he went off for a career-high 13 grabs and 119 yards. That’s elite tight end production! But here’s the kicker: that huge game happened with Justin Jefferson (ankle) out. Now, Jefferson *could* be back for Week 5, which immediately changes Hockenson’s target share. Plus, the Vikings aren’t playing Miami every week. This week, they’re up against the Saints, and New Orleans has been an absolute brick wall for tight ends, holding Sam LaPorta, Mark Andrews, and Kyle Pitts all under 50 yards and out of the end zone this season. So, despite his recent monster game and top 10 season production, the model is pumping the brakes hard, slotting Hockenson barely inside the top 20 at his position.

Before you finalize any Week 5 picks, you’ve gotta check out these updated rankings. That model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times for a reason, and it just gave you a huge heads-up that your starting tight end might be a massive trap this week. Don’t leave your league title to chance, especially when the byes and injuries are already making things wild.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by CBS Sports.

About the author

Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *