Saturday’s American League Central clash between the Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals just got a wild card thrown in the mix. Even with what looks like a solid pitching duel on deck, a proven model is calling for *way* more runs than you’d expect, specifically projecting the total combined runs to go Over 8!
Mize vs. Wacha: Who’s Got the Edge?
It’s an intriguing pitching matchup kicking off the MLB schedule today, with Casey Mize taking the mound for the Detroit Tigers as they host Michael Wacha and the Kansas City Royals. Wacha comes in with a 5-7 record and a 3.66 ERA, while Mize counters with a 4-6 record and a sharper 2.79 ERA. The Royals are also without Bobby Witt Jr., who’s sidelined with a back injury. Both these teams are hanging at the bottom of their division, but there’s still time to chase down the White Sox and Guardians if they can catch fire. First pitch from Comerica Park in Detroit is set for 1:10 p.m. ET, with the Tigers favored at -184 on the money line, and the Royals sitting at +153. The over/under is currently set at 8 runs.
The Model’s Bomb Dropped on the Over/Under
This isn’t just some random guess, either. The SportsLine Projection Model simulated this Tigers vs. Royals game 10,000 times, and it’s been on a *sizzling* 35-21 run on all its top-rated MLB picks heading into Week 18! It even crushed home run prop picks last year, bringing in nearly 30 units of profit. What’s it saying now? The model is going Over 8 combined runs for over/under betting. The total actually dropped from 8.5 to 8, which is huge and creates even more value on the Over, even with those strong pitchers. The model projects a combined 8.4 total runs for these teams, screaming that the Over is the value play. They’re even calling for Jac Caglianone and Vinnie Pasquantino of the Royals to hit 1.4 or more total bases, and the Tigers’ Riley Greene, Kevin McGonigle, and Kerry Carpenter to do the same!
So, does this proven model crush it again? We’re about to find out if all that offensive firepower really shows up, and if that money line pick has all the value. You gotta tune in, 1:10 PM ET from Comerica Park, it’s gonna be a good one.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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