Seattle sports, on tap daily

The #6 Michigan State Spartans Are a -29.5 Favorite, And Tom Izzo’s Opener History Says Everything

Ncaab on gradient background

Written by

in

Ncaab on gradient background
Ncaab on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

It’s finally here, folks! The No. 6 ranked Michigan State Spartans are tipping off their season tonight, Monday, at 7 p.m. in the Breslin Center, facing off against Quinnipiac. On paper, it looks like a cakewalk, with MSU pegged as a colossal -29.5 favorite against a team they’ve never played before. But don’t let those numbers fool you entirely, because even with the high hopes surrounding this squad, there are some serious red flags waving after their exhibition games.

High Hopes, Humbling Losses: MSU’s Tricky Start

Look, Izzo’s teams always have national title aspirations, and this year is no different with a No. 6 preseason ranking in both the AP and Coaches polls. They’re loaded with returning talent like Jeremy Fears Jr., Jordan Scott, and Coen Carr. But let’s be real, their exhibition schedule was not a joyride. They took losses to both Connecticut and Marquette, which should give anyone pause, especially with a new interior frontcourt getting settled. Cam Ward is likely the guy at power forward, with Jesse McCulloch at center, pushing past freshman Ethan Taylor and transfer Anton Bonke, who barely saw the floor in those pre-season contests. Plus, we’ve got freshman guard Jasiah Jervis ready to make a significant impact.

Here’s the kicker, though, and it’s why that monster spread feels a little less secure: Tom Izzo’s record in season openers. While he’s an incredible 23-8 overall, and an even more dominant 22-1 at the Breslin Center, two of those losses came against mid-majors. Remember Hawaii back in 2005-06? Yeah. And even more recently, just three years ago, James Madison stunned them right there at Breslin. So while they should absolutely dominate Quinnipiac, this team needs to be dialed in from minute one. They can’t afford to stumble out of the gate against an underdog when the entire league is watching a top-10 squad.

Quinnipiac’s Underdog Story and Pecora’s Plan

Now, let’s talk about the Bobcats. This isn’t just some random squad rolling into East Lansing. Quinnipiac finished last season at a solid 19-3 overall, 12-8 in conference play, and they’ve got real hopes of winning the Metro Conference this year. While they’ve never made a Division I NCAA tournament, they’re not a team to completely overlook, especially when Izzo’s Spartans have shown they can get caught sleeping. Coach Tom Pecora, in his fourth season with the Bobcats, has a 63-36 record there, and he’s not afraid to mix things up. He brought in five transfers this off-season, including a potential starting backcourt from the Division II level with Lukas Sekasi and Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton.

They also have a player of the year candidate in their league, forward Keith McKnight, who could certainly make some noise. Pecora’s teams are known for their offensive rebounding and scoring in transition. Where they struggle is shooting. This roster still has some big questions on that front, and that’s exactly where a top-ranked MSU squad should be able to expose them. But if they crash the boards and run the floor, they could certainly make things a bit uncomfortable for a Spartan team that needs to find its rhythm.

So, while the spread says one thing, and the rankings scream another, Izzo’s crew has to bring it from the jump. This isn’t just another game; it’s the first step for a team with serious national title aspirations. Can they avoid a repeat of past stumbles and set the tone for a monster season? Or will Quinnipiac somehow pull off the shocker that nobody’s ready for?

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.

About the author

Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *