Week 4 projections just dropped, and our guy Sam Darnold is sitting at a cool 18.2 projected points, landing him at QB22 on Hayden Winks’ “Blueprint” rankings. This is the weekly breakdown that fantasy owners live by, digging into film notes and charts to build out the most accurate rankings possible. For our Seahawks faithful playing fantasy, that 18.2 projection against the Chargers is definitely something to chew on as we head into Sunday.
Sam Darnold’s Early Season Fantasy Reality Check
Looking at the numbers for Week 4, Darnold’s 18.2 projected points put him right there at QB22. It’s an early-season benchmark, and with all the excitement around the new era under Coach Macdonald and OC Fleury, we’re all hungry to see Darnold light it up. These projections are based on betting markets for total yardage, so they’re designed to be sharp. While 22nd might not sound like a highlight, it sets the stage for what we can expect, especially with the Chargers coming to town. We know Darnold has talent, and this is where he needs to start proving he can outperform these early expectations.
The QB Landscape: Who’s Balling Out and Where We Stand
Around the league, the top of the QB rankings is stacked, as expected. Josh Allen leads the pack with 21.9 projected points against New England, followed by Lamar Jackson (21.2 vs. TEN), Patrick Mahomes (20 at LV), Joe Burrow (20.6 vs. JAX), Tyler Shough (20.8 vs. ATL), and Trevor Lawrence (21 at CIN). But the real story that jumps out is Brock Purdy over in San Francisco. This dude is absolutely killing it! His 49ers offense hasn’t allowed a single sack in their first three games. That’s a ridiculous feat, only achieved by 10 offenses ever, including some of Dan Marino and Peyton Manning’s legendary teams. Gregg Rosenthal even pointed out they only have four negative plays compared to three wins. Insanity! Purdy’s MVP-level play, his timing, and his trust in that offense are incredible. He’s an underrated playmaker, and since 2025, he only trails Josh Allen in fantasy points per game with 22.3. Even if they face receiver issues with Mike Evans potentially joining De’Zhaun Stribling and Demarcus Robinson on the sideline, Kyle Shanahan’s genius and Trent Williams holding down the offensive line mean they’re still set up for success. It shows you the level of competition Darnold is up against in this league.
So, as Week 4 approaches, we’re keeping a close eye on Darnold. That 18.2 projection is just a starting point, and we’re ready for him to surpass it. The Hawks are at home against the Chargers, and every performance from here on out helps define what kind of season this will be. Let’s see what our guy can do!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.
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