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28.5 Dropbacks Per Game: Why Trevor Lawrence Is a Real-Life QB, Not a Fantasy King Right Now

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Seriously, fantasy managers are staring at Trevor Lawrence and wondering what’s going on. The dude’s completing passes like a champ, but his usage numbers are just brutal. When you’re only seeing 28.5 dropbacks per game, ranking 28th among all starters, that’s a huge problem for anyone trying to trust him in their fantasy lineup.

Trevor Lawrence Is Throwing Darts, Just Not Enough Darts

You watch Lawrence play, and you can see it: he’s a great real-life quarterback. He led drive after drive against the Bengals in Week 4, making it clear Cincy barely had a shot to come back in three series. His understanding of HC Liam Coen’s scheme? Way better than last year, no question. You won’t find him outside the top 12 in any efficiency ranking, which is awesome. But here’s the kicker, man: just because he’s passing well doesn’t mean he’s doing it *often*. His PROE numbers are telling, hanging around 20th to 23rd in the league for most of the season. And get this: Cam Ward has *more* red-zone dropbacks per game than Lawrence. His rushing rate is down too, mostly because he’s seeing fewer pressures. So yeah, great QB, mediocre for fantasy. The good news? Philadelphia’s defense ain’t what it used to be. They’re 18th in passing yards per game allowed and below the league average in defensive EPA per play. The only mobile QB they’ve faced, Jayden Daniels, put up 31 rushing yards. If Lawrence can have another strong outing in Week 5, especially with favorable matchups coming up, maybe we can start to feel a little more confident.

Aaron Jones Sr. Is Doing EVERYTHING, But Kyler Murray Is Killing His Fantasy Value

Look, the problem here isn’t Aaron Jones Sr., man. The dude is getting work. Jordan Mason’s been on injured reserve for three weeks, and just like we expected, the touches have totally condensed around the 31-year-old running back. And his usage numbers are insane: 81% rush attempt share (that’s 5th among all RBs with at least 75 snaps!), a 55% route rate (8th in the league!), and a 17% target share (4th!). He’s getting 23 touches per game, which is more than Jahmyr Gibbs, Kyren Williams, and James Cook. He’s run 56 routes in three weeks; Ashton Jeanty has 55 *carries*. The guy is seeing all the work you could ever ask for.

So, what’s the issue? It’s his offense, plain and simple. Specifically, it’s the early returns from the Kyler Murray experience. When Carson Wentz was under center, that offense was operating on time, with Wentz averaging 2.53 seconds per pass. Murray? He’s getting the ball out at that same pace on only 40.9% of his passes. You can’t make this stuff up. Jones is battling his own team’s offense to be fantasy relevant, and that’s a tough fight for anyone.

Heading into Week 5, Lawrence has a chance to turn that corner against a vulnerable Eagles defense and prove he can put up the numbers. For Jones, the usage is there, but he’s gotta hope that offense figures it out and gives him a chance to do something with all those touches. This is going to be a wild one.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.

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