Hold up, folks, because the SportsLine Projection Model just dropped a bomb for tonight’s Big 12 showdown between the unbeaten #8 BYU Cougars and the Iowa State Cyclones. Forget what you think you know about these teams, because the model is calling for a wild 52 combined points in Provo, pushing the total *Over* the 46.5 line, and that’s a prediction we gotta talk about.
BYU’s Unbeaten Ride Rolls Into a Friday Night Fight
The #8 BYU Cougars are straight up *rolling* right now, sitting pretty at 4-0 overall and a clean 2-0 in the Big 12. They’ve been owning their opponents, outscoring them by a massive 149-57 so far this season. On their home turf at LaVell Edwards Stadium, they’re perfect at 2-0. Last Saturday, they showed that grit, holding off TCU with a 17-10 win. Tonight, they’re looking to keep that undefeated streak alive against a visiting Iowa State squad that’s struggling on the road, going 0-1 this season and 0-2 against ranked opponents. The Cyclones are no stranger to BYU, leading the all-time series 5-1, but the Cougars took last year’s meeting on Iowa State’s home field.
Cyclones Look to Upset as Quarterbacks Prepare to Deal
Iowa State isn’t just going to roll over, though. They’re coming off a huge 45-42 victory over West Virginia last Saturday, which put them at 3-2 overall and 1-1 in the Big 12. Their offense is powered by senior quarterback Jaylen Raynor, who’s completed 58% of his passes for 903 yards, slinging six touchdowns against four interceptions. Over on the BYU side, sophomore signal-caller Bear Bachmeier leads the attack. He’s been sharp, completing 64% of his throws for 704 yards, six touchdowns, and just one pick. But he’s not just a passer, he’s a dual threat, too, with 27 rushes for 130 yards and four scores on the ground. When these two QBs get going, it can be a show!
The Odds, the Model, and That Crazy Over Prediction
The oddsmakers have the #8 Cougars as 10.5-point favorites tonight, with the over/under set at 46.5 points. BYU’s money line is sitting at -410, while Iowa State is a tempting +320 underdog. But here’s where it gets wild: SportsLine’s model, after simulating this game 10,000 times, is hammering the *Over* 46.5 points. The model is projecting a whopping 52 combined points, giving the Over a 56% value! That’s a brave call, especially when you look at recent trends. The Under has hit in six of Iowa State’s last nine games, and for BYU, the Under is 6-4 over their past ten games, including two of their last three at home. Despite those numbers, the model is seeing something different, predicting a Friday night shootout in Provo.
Kickoff is set for 10:15 p.m. ET. BYU is looking to stay perfect, while Iowa State wants to prove they can hang with the ranked teams. With the model predicting a high-scoring affair, get ready for some fireworks!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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