Caleb Williams’ Odds Skyrocketed From +1200 to +600 in One Week and the NFL Is Still Talking About It

Bills QB Josh Allen is still the undisputed favorite for NFL Most Valuable Player one week into the 2026 season. That’s no shock, right? But what *is* a shocker is who just exploded onto the scene as the new contender for second place.

The Bear Is ROARING Early

We’re talking about Bears quarterback Caleb Williams, folks. His MVP odds absolutely *skyrocketed* after his incredible performance in Chicago’s dominant 59-37 Week 1 win on the road against Carolina. Think about it: before that game, Williams was sitting way out at a distant +1200. After dropping that kind of performance? He’s leaped all the way to a shocking +600. That puts him right behind Allen, whose own odds only modestly improved from +600 to +500. This ain’t some quiet climb; this is a full-on detonation of the MVP race!

Shifting the Early MVP Landscape

This massive, sudden jump from Williams has completely reshaped the entire early MVP landscape. Suddenly, you’ve got Lamar Jackson lagging behind Williams at +650, Joe Burrow further back at +900, and Brock Purdy holding at +1200. And get this: even the legendary Patrick Mahomes is now chilling at +1600, with Dak Prescott and Trevor Lawrence both tied up at +1800. It just goes to show how much that single Week 1 explosion from Williams instantly changed the entire narrative around the league’s top individual prize.

Last Year’s MVP Takes a Dive

And on the flip side of the coin, last year’s MVP, Matthew Stafford, is looking like he’s already in trouble. His odds took a serious hit, dropping hard from a preseason +1400 all the way down to a disheartening +2000. That’s after the Rams kicked off their season with an ugly Week 1 loss. It’s only one game, yeah, but the oddsmakers are clearly not messing around. They’re telling us exactly what they think of these early season performances.

So as we gear up for Week 2, Josh Allen might still be holding that top spot. But trust me, every eye in the league is now locked on Caleb Williams with a laser focus after his undeniable, game-changing opening week. Can he keep this absolutely insane momentum going? We’re all gonna be glued to our screens to find out!

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Pro Football Talk.