The 2-3 Dallas Cowboys are gearing up to face the 3-2 Green Bay Packers, and if you think their records tell the full story, you’re missing the wildest part: Dallas is rocking a league-worst defense and still eyed for a big W. Yeah, you heard that right. This Week 6 matchup is shaping up to be a total head-scratcher.
Dallas: All Offense, No Defense?
It’s a bizarre start for the Cowboys. They’re sitting at 2-3, a losing record, but somehow boast a positive +2 point differential. How does that even happen? Their offense, that’s how. Dallas is absolutely legit on that side of the ball, still hanging tough in the top seven for both total EPA and success rate. They’ve gone toe-to-toe with some serious squads, facing the Giants, Commanders, Ravens, Texans, and Bucs. After an embarrassing loss to a rookie quarterback last week, Dak Prescott is set up to have a field day at Lambeau.
But then there’s the defense. Oh boy, the defense. It’s dreadful. Seriously, from a total EPA perspective, they are by far the worst defense in the entire league. They’re letting opponents convert at a staggering, league-high 50% success rate. How do you win games when you’re giving up points like candy? That’s the Dallas paradox right there, and it’s making everyone scratch their heads.
Green Bay’s Record Hides Some Cracks
On the other side, the 3-2 Green Bay Packers might have a winning record, but dig a little deeper and you see some red flags. They’ve got a negative -8 point differential, which is a big indicator that their wins haven’t exactly been dominant. The Packers’ defense looks solid on paper, sixth overall in total EPA, but their success rate is way down at 18th overall.
Why the disconnect? They’ve faced a pretty underwhelming slate of offenses so far: the Vikings, the Jets, and then the Falcons, Bucs, and Bears all without their starting quarterbacks. That doesn’t exactly scream “elite defense.” Expect Jordan Love to connect on plenty of his patented fadeaway throws to Christian Watson and Matthew Golden, especially against that porous Cowboys D. However, after taking it out on their rivals last week, there’s a good chance Green Bay experiences a bit of a comedown. This game is going to be a real test to see if their winning record is built on solid ground or just some smoke and mirrors.
So, what’s the verdict? The Cowboys are predicted to bounce back big, even with their defensive woes, taking this one 38-34. Can Dak really feast against a defense that’s faced cupcakes? Will Jordan Love actually shred the worst D in the league? Grab your snacks, this one’s gonna be wild!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Niners Nation.
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