The advanced computer model that’s been absolutely crushing it, running up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since it launched, just dropped its Week 1 predictions. And holy smokes, it’s got the Jacksonville Jaguars not just winning, but absolutely blowing past an 8.5-point spread at home against Cleveland in a Sunday 1 p.m. ET kickoff. This isn’t just a guess, folks, this is the model that’s on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
Jags Are an ATS Machine, and the Model Knows It
Seriously, the model predicts the Jags will cover that spread in well over 50% of its 10,000 simulations! If you thought last year was a fluke for Jacksonville, think again. They were the undisputed kings against the spread, rocking a league-best 12-5 ATS mark in the regular season. And get this: they were even more dominant at home, covering in a mind-blowing 78% of their games. That was also the best record in the entire NFL, bar none. Meanwhile, Cleveland? Not so hot on the road, going a miserable 2-6 ATS, which was the second-worst in the league. The model isn’t just calling the spread either; it’s got the Over hitting in a whopping 61% of simulations for this game. It just screams confidence, right?
Philly’s Got a Lock, Plus New QBs Throwing Down
But that’s not the only fire prediction for Week 1. The model is also backing the Eagles to cover a 5.5-point spread at home against the Commanders in their Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET matchup. Philadelphia has already won eight times against them, so that trend is definitely something to watch. Beyond the model’s top picks, Week 1 is stacked with can’t-miss matchups! We’re talking divisional brawls like the Chiefs vs. Broncos, where Denver is getting 2.5 points, and the Cowboys vs. Giants, with New York getting 3 points. And how about the Steelers vs. Falcons? Aaron Rodgers on his “last ride” with Atlanta getting 6 points? Wild. But maybe the most intriguing game has to be Dolphins vs. Raiders, the only opening game guaranteed to feature two new starters under center. Miami’s Malik Willis is set to duel Kirk Cousins, with the veteran getting the starting nod over Fernando Mendoza for Vegas. The Raiders, who went 7-10 ATS last year, are a 3-point favorite in that one.
It’s Week 1, baby! The season is officially here, and with these kinds of predictions, you know the stakes are high right out of the gate. This model has a history of delivering, so get ready to see if these early calls set the tone for the entire season.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
Leave a Reply