Jahmyr Gibbs is already the RB1 in half PPR points per game, throwing down an insane 28.0 points every single week and, seriously, he’s on pace for a top-10 RB finish *all time*. This isn’t just some hot streak, this is legit, and if you’ve got him on your fantasy squad, you know exactly how electric he is.
Gibbs Is Unleashed and Green Bay’s Defense Is Scrambling
Gibbs isn’t just getting lucky, either. He’s operating on RB1 usage, clocking in a massive 24.6 expected half PPR points per game. This dude is getting the touches he needs to put up these mind-blowing numbers. And get this, Green Bay’s defense is a total sieve against running backs. They sit second in half PPR points allowed to the position, giving up a whopping 18.1 points per game on the ground. Remember what fellow elite RB1 Bijan Robinson did to them in Week 3? A monster finish, that’s what! Detroit carries an implied total of 27.75 points, which is first in the league, and they’re 3-point home favorites. To top it all off, the Lions will be getting back C Cade Mays for this one. Talk about a perfect storm for Gibbs to absolutely feast.
McCaffrey, Robinson, and Henry’s Crucial Week 7 Outlook
But Gibbs isn’t the only back heating up, or facing critical matchups. Christian McCaffrey is the RB5 in half PPR points per game, with RB7 usage over his last four games. And last week was wild, he hit a season-high 26.1 expected half PPR points. You know why? Mike Evans is unlikely to play due to an Achilles injury, opening up more targets. Another 10 targets wouldn’t surprise anyone given the state of their WR room in Week 7. This is the best his projection has looked all year heading into a week. Atlanta’s defense ranks 13th in half PPR points allowed to RBs, but they sit fifth in receiving points allowed to the position. They’ve coughed up top-10 finishes to Alvin Kamara, Derrick Henry, and D’Andre Swift over their last three games. The 49ers hold a 25.25-point implied total, seventh overall, as road favorites.
Then we’ve got Bijan Robinson, checking in as the RB3 in half PPR points per game on RB5 usage over his last four outings, largely with Michael Penix Jr. as his starter. Robinson was phased out of Week 6, but that is the outlier outcome for him. But here’s something to track: his target share is down with Penix versus with other QBs. San Francisco ranks 14th in overall half PPR points allowed to backfields, but they are giving up the MOST receiving fantasy points to RBs, period. We’ve seen Jeremiyah Love, RJ Harvey, and most recently Rachaad White all put up big numbers against them. Atlanta’s sitting with a 23.35-point team total as 3-point home dogs.
Now, let’s talk about the King, Derrick Henry. He’s coming off a season-low 4.5 half PPR points against Cleveland. Yeah, I know, rough. But don’t you dare bench him! His workload foundation remains intact. Across his last four games, he is the RB10 on RB4 usage, with 18.4 expected half PPR points per game, leading all RBs with 22.5 carries per game. Henry should have more scoring chances and better game scripts moving forward.
Look, Week 7 is crunch time for a lot of fantasy squads. These rankings aren’t set in stone this early in the week. Keep checking back, seriously, right up until Sunday morning for the final calls. Every position’s full rankings are always available, so go get ’em!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.
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