Going just 1-for-3 on player prop bets for the second week in a row? Yeah, that stings, especially when the “gimme” pick didn’t even hit last week! Aaron Jones *did* go over his rushing yardage, so I got that one right. But Justin Jefferson had a down game, like every other Vikings pass catcher, and while the Vikings did get an interception of Caleb Williams, it wasn’t Harrison Smith who snagged it. So, after two consecutive weeks of that kind of disappointment, it’s time to dig deep for Week 3 of the NFL season. We’re looking at the Minnesota Vikings squaring off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and I’m diving back into the prop market hoping for a much better outcome.
Kyler Murray’s Air Raid Scheme Needs to Show Up Big
My first play for this week is Kyler Murray to go **OVER 209.5 passing yards** at -114. Honestly, if this guy can just manage to make it through more than one quarter, he should be able to make some serious plays against Tampa Bay’s pass defense. The Buccaneers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete more than 75% of their passes so far this season, all at a clip of 7.6 yards per attempt. Plus, they’ve only registered three sacks through their first two games, which is good news for Murray. I know he still has some adjusting to do in Kevin O’Connell’s offense, but the whole reason he was brought in here was to push that ball down the field. If he can stay on the field, he should have his opportunities to do exactly that.
Aaron Jones’s Mileage and Jefferson’s Monster Day
Next up, I’m going **UNDER 50.5 rushing yards** for Aaron Jones, also at -114. Dude was an absolute warrior last week in Chicago, putting in a heroic effort in all that rain, wind, and slop. But let’s be real, he took a significant beating in doing so. Even though he doesn’t have an injury designation for this week, I think the Vikings might want to try to work some other backs into the picture to keep him from getting banged up any worse. Tampa has also been fairly stout against the run thus far this season, which doesn’t help Jones’s chances for a big ground game.
And for the big one, the Same Game Parlay: I’m feeling **Justin Jefferson for 7+ catches, 70+ receiving yards, AND an anytime touchdown** at +346. The reasoning behind bringing Kyler Murray in to play quarterback for this team was simple: he was going to get the ball to Justin Jefferson. There isn’t going to be rain and wind this week, which means conditions are perfect for J-Jet to absolutely go off. This connection needs to light up the scoreboard.
After two rough weeks in a row, hopefully this week will come out significantly better. Here’s to a better outing and some Ws in the bank, both on the field for the Vikings and in the picks for us!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Daily Norseman.
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