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No. 15 Kansas Is Without Melvin Council Jr. and The Under Is Hitting 62% For This Kentucky Showdown

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Ncaab on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

No. 15 Kansas is going into tonight’s Champions Classic showdown against No. 24 Kentucky without starting guard Melvin Council Jr., after he broke his right foot during Monday’s practice. It’s a huge blow for the 2-0 Jayhawks, who face an equally undefeated Kentucky squad at the United Center in Chicago.

Unbeaten Teams, Unexpected Roadblocks

This isn’t just any early season game. We’ve got two undefeated titans clashing at 9:30 p.m. ET, and one of them is already facing major adversity. Kansas, ranked No. 15, stomped Middle Tennessee 89-45 on Friday, looking like a well-oiled machine. But losing Council Jr. to surgery before a marquee game? That’s a gut punch. Meanwhile, No. 24 Kentucky is also sitting at a perfect 2-0, fresh off an 89-80 win against James Madison the same night. The Jayhawks are still favored by 4.5 points, with the over/under for total points set at 158.5. But with Council Jr. out, does that line even make sense anymore?

The Model Has Spoken, And It’s Going Under

You know we trust the numbers, and the SportsLine Projection Model has been on a tear, hitting an insane 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to 2025. It’s also 28-22 on its top-rated CBB side picks. This model has dug deep into the Kansas vs. Kentucky matchup, and it’s crystal clear: it’s hitting the *Under* on the 158.5 points total. How confident is it? The model projects the Under to hit a staggering 62% of the time! Why? For starters, that Council Jr. injury is a game-changer. Plus, the Under has hit in seven of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these programs. It’s also hit in seven of Kansas’s last 10 games and in two of Kentucky’s last three. Individually, the model projects four Kansas players to hit double figures, with Trey Kaufman-Renn projected for more than 16 points, while four Wildcats are expected to score at least 11 points, led by Alex Wilkins with over 17.

So, this Champions Classic clash is going to be electric. Two undefeated squads, a massive injury to a key starter, and a SportsLine model screaming for the Under. Can Kansas overcome the loss of Council Jr. and cover the spread, or will Kentucky pull off the upset? And critically, will these teams defy the numbers and light up the scoreboard, or will the game stay tight and low-scoring as the model predicts? You’ll have to tune in tonight to see how it all goes down!

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by CBS Sports.

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