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Seattle Is a 2.5-Point Favorite Against the Chiefs, and That’s the Week 7 Shocker

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Kansas City Chiefs logo on gradient background
Kansas City Chiefs logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

The Chiefs haven’t set foot in the Emerald City since 2018, but they’re finally back for Week 7 on October 23, 2026, and get this: the Seahawks are 2.5-point favorites in what’s already being called a potential Super Bowl preview. That’s right, Seattle, the league sees us as legit contenders, even with a powerhouse like Kansas City rolling into T-Mobile Park. This isn’t just another game, folks; this is a statement, right here in our own backyard.

The Hawks’ High Stakes Showdown and the Model That’s Crushing It

This Week 7 matchup against the Chiefs is the absolute biggest thing on the schedule for the 12s, with our Hawks being the favorite at home. It’s been eight years since they’ve graced our turf, and for our squad to be favored by 2.5 points in what’s being eyed as a potential Super Bowl preview? That’s the kind of recognition our team has earned. Forget the rest of the league for a second, this is our moment to show exactly what we’re made of. This is the kind of game that defines an early season, setting the tone for what we know can be a deep run.

Meanwhile, if you’re looking for an edge on the rest of the NFL schedule, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has been straight up money. This thing has simulated every single NFL game 10,000 times, and it’s been killing it on top-rated NFL picks, up more than $5,000 for $100 players since it kicked off. It rolled into Week 7 of the 2026 season on a ridiculous 58-48 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Yeah, this model is legit.

Jets Flying High and Other Week 7 Wildness

Beyond our big game, Week 7 has some other wild matchups. The Giants, with new starting QB J.J. McCarthy, are visiting Houston for the first time in eight years, with the Texans favored by 10.5 points. Out west, the Rams are traveling to Vegas to face the Raiders for the first time since the Raiders moved from Oakland, with L.A. being favored by 3.5. We even have an NFL Paris Game, with Pittsburgh favored by 3 over New Orleans.

But let’s talk about the computer model’s strongest pick: the New York Jets, favored by 4.5 points at home against the Dolphins. The Jets are sitting pretty with four spread victories, just one shy of the league high. Miami, on the other hand, only has one ATS win, tied for the second fewest in the entire NFL. The Jets defense is no joke, ranking in the top seven for points allowed, passing defense, and redzone scoring. Plus, their offense got a massive boost with first-round wideout Omar Cooper back in action, dropping a 6-103-1 stat line last Sunday. The Dolphins are coming off a bye, but they’re also 0-3 against the spread in their last three games with that rest advantage. This model has the Jets covering over 60 percent of the time, so that’s a pick you might want to consider.

Our Seahawks have the chance to make a massive statement against the Chiefs, solidifying their early season form as a true contender. This Week 7 showdown at home is absolutely massive. Get loud, 12s, because this is our time to shine.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by CBS Sports.

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