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The 17 Points That Have ESPN Betting Against the Celtics, And Why They’ll Be Wrong

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Boston Celtics logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

ESPN’s Summer Forecast just dropped a bombshell: the Boston Celtics, a squad synonymous with title contention, is projected to have a “disappointing” 2026-27 NBA season. Forget Larry O’Brien trophy talks; the pundits are predicting a full-on tumble for the league’s most decorated franchise, a wild shift from what we usually hear.

ESPN’s Harsh Take: Fifth Most Disappointing Team?

This year’s Summer Forecast is a far cry from the usual “frontrunner” status the Celtics enjoy. The reason everyone’s pointing to? Jaylen Brown’s trade to the Philadelphia 76ers for Paul George and some picks. ESPN even listed the Celtics as the fifth most disappointing team for the upcoming season with 17 points, trailing behind the Los Angeles Lakers (32 points), Detroit Pistons (27 points), Golden State Warriors (26 points), and Miami Heat (22 points). Now, I get it, losing an MVP candidate like Brown hurts, especially when you couldn’t afford him if you wanted to keep financial flexibility for depth. But fifth most disappointing? That feels like a bit much, especially for a team with the history of the Celtics. This franchise, with legends like Red Auerbach, Bill Russell, Larry Bird, Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Jrue Holiday, and Kristaps Porzingis moving on, has always found a way to dispell these gloomy preseason predictions. Why should now be any different for Jayson Tatum and Coach Joe Mazzulla?

The George-Brown Trade: Numbers Tell a Deeper Story

Let’s break down that Brown-George swap. On paper, their projected Per 36 Minutes numbers for 2026-27 aren’t *that* far apart, except for points. Jaylen Brown’s projected 27.1 points on 20.9 field goal attempts per 36 minutes certainly stand out. Compare that to Paul George’s 19.8 points on 16.1 attempts. Brown’s an incredible scorer, no doubt. But here’s the kicker: those 3.8 extra field goal attempts per game from Brown could make all the difference. When Brown was the primary point of attack, the Celtics offense often stalled, preventing guys like Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Hugo Gonzalez, or Baylor Scheierman from really getting into a rhythm. George, on the other hand, doesn’t present that same offensive conundrum. His numbers are solid across the board: .437 FG%, .378 3P%, .831 FT%, with 4.2 assists, 5.9 rebounds, 1.8 steals, and 0.5 blocks per 36 minutes. We’ve seen what George can do, even dropping 23 points on 8-17 shooting in a 106-93 win back on April 30, 2026. This isn’t just a simple swap; it’s a strategic move that could actually unlock more of the Celtics’ overall offensive potential.

So, while ESPN is predicting a major slide, don’t sleep on Tatum and Mazzulla. The history of this franchise, combined with the subtle but significant benefits of the Paul George acquisition, means they’re absolutely ready to prove those 17 points are nothing but noise. This team, led by Jayson Tatum, is built to win, and they’ve got every reason to show the league just how wrong those projections are.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by The Sporting News.

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