If you’re still betting big NFL favorites this season, you’re missing a wild trend: favorites of -6 or more are covering the spread just 27.5% of the time. Yeah, you read that right, 27.5 percent! These teams are only 8-21-3 against the spread so far, and Week 8 is loaded with five more games that meet that threshold. This isn’t just a fluke, it’s a pattern, and if you’re not paying attention, your bankroll is taking a hit.
Underdogs Are Eating in Week 8, Plus a Chiefs-Broncos Streak You Can’t Ignore
So, which games should you be eyeing if you’re looking for an upset or a smart bet this Sunday? We’ve got five matchups where the big favorites could struggle to cover the spread. The Jaguars are laying -10 against the Colts, the Cowboys are -7 favorites over the Cardinals, and the Bengals are rolling with a massive -12.5 spread against the Titans. Not to mention the Rams are -6.5 against the Chargers, and the Patriots are -7 over the Dolphins. If history tells us anything this season, going against these big favorites might be the play.
And talk about streaks: The Chiefs and Broncos are playing again in Week 8, and their games have gone Under the total in their last *seven* meetings. Seven! This week, the total sits at 40.5 with the Chiefs favored by just 1.5 points. That’s a trend that’s almost impossible to ignore when you’re looking at the betting sheet.
SportsLine’s Model Spills a 25-1 Parlay Secret and DFS Gems
While the underdogs might be shining, SportsLine’s proven model and team of experts are also cooking up some serious value. They’ve built a five-team parlay for Week 8 that pays out around 25-1, which could be a massive win for a $100 player. One of the key legs of that parlay is backing the Over 46.5 points in the Jaguars vs. Colts game. The model is forecasting a combined 56 points in that one, with the Over connecting 66% of the time. That’s a confident pick right there, and you know how much we love some offensive fireworks!
Looking to dominate your DFS lineup? The SportsLine DFS Optimizer, powered by Advanced-Data Projection Model info and insight from DFS Professional Millionaire Mike McClure, has identified some top picks for the main Sunday slate. Two players standing out big time are Cowboys RB Javonte Williams and Bengals WR Tee Higgins. These guys could be the difference-makers for your DraftKings and FanDuel teams this week. Getting those model-backed picks is like having an insider advantage.
Whether you’re hitting the parlays, building your DFS roster, or just trying to win your fantasy matchup, these insights from the experts are crucial for Week 8. Don’t leave money on the table; make sure you’re up to date before kickoff this Sunday!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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