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The 5 Percent Chance Martin Kaymer Sees for LIV Golf’s Finale and Why Cameron Smith Is Still ‘Expecting’ It

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Golf on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

LIV Golf is staring down a wild finish to its 2026 season, and the uncertainty is so thick you could cut it with a 9-iron. We’re talking about the season-ending Team Championship in Michigan, an event fellow league member Martin Kaymer puts at a bleak 5 percent chance of actually happening. Yet, Cameron Smith is out there saying he’s preparing as if it’s a sure thing. Talk about a disconnect, right?

Michigan on the Brink: What’s the Real Story?

Smith told a press conference this week that players have been told “to prepare as though it’s going ahead.” He’s expecting it. And honestly, who can blame him for wanting it? He loved last year’s event in Detroit, calling it a “great golf course, a great venue,” with crowds that “really turned up.” He’d be straight-up “disappointed if it wasn’t” happening. But the vibes coming from elsewhere are way different. Reports leaked last week that the league was expected to announce the cancellation of that very championship, slated for The Cardinal in Plymouth. If that goes down, it’ll be the second event scrubbed from this year’s schedule. Remember LIV Golf New Orleans? That one got postponed back in April, originally for July, and there’s still no replacement date. This entire 2026 season has just been a whole lot of questions, even with Lucas Herbert grabbing a record-setting win in England recently.

A Tumultuous Season Gets Even Wilder

If Michigan gets axed, the 2026 LIV slate shrinks dramatically. We’re talking just two tournaments left: LIV Golf New York at Trump Bedminster from August 6-9, and LIV Golf Indianapolis at The Club at Chatham Hills from August 20-23. Beyond those, the league’s future is a total mystery. This whole situation is just the latest hit in a string of challenges. Last week, the Asian Tour jumped ship, announcing a new strategic alliance with the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, effectively ending its partnership with LIV. Then, on Monday, “Flushing It” reported that emails went out to staffers letting them know they’d be laid off come September. It’s rough out there.

Players Facing an Uncertain Future

So, what does this mean for the guys actually playing? Smith, for his part, hasn’t even thought about a “life after LIV.” He’s “contracted to the end of next year” and was planning to play, renegotiate, and keep going. He’s passionate about what LIV has done for “golf in Australia,” boosting “junior golf” and “Little Rippers” programs. He says Australian golf numbers are up across the board, from memberships to social play, and he thinks LIV is a big part of that. It would be a “shame for all that to go away,” he said. But his teammate, Lucas Herbert, who’s been “on fire of late,” and others on Ripper GC? They’ve definitely been “entertaining thoughts about a life without the circuit.” It’s a huge moment for these players, waiting to see what August brings.

The next event, LIV Golf New York, kicks off on August 6 at Trump Bedminster. With so much up in the air, you know every shot, every comment, is going to be under a microscope as the league tries to figure out its next move.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.

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