NFL Week 5 is already here, and believe it or not, our Seattle Seahawks are holding court as 3-point home favorites against the San Francisco 49ers! That’s right, the latest odds at FanDuel have our squad getting that much respect heading into what’s always a massive NFC West clash. The Over/Under for total points is sitting at 45.5, which tells you this could be a tight one, but the fact we’re favored at home against those guys? That’s huge.
Why Everyone Is Watching Our Hawks This Sunday
This isn’t just some random number; it’s a big test for both teams. And when it comes to getting these games right, there’s a model out there that’s been absolutely crushing it. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on betting sites since it started. It entered Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season on a scorching 55-44 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. If anyone knows what’s up in the league, it’s this model. And it’s pointing to our Hawks to cover that -3 spread against the Niners, which is exactly what we love to hear as fans in the Emerald City.
What Else The Model Is Eyeing Around The League
Beyond our Hawks, the model is also seeing some interesting plays this Sunday. Over in the Bears-Packers game, Chicago is still without quarterback Caleb Williams due to a hamstring injury, so Tyson Bagent is getting the start again. He threw for 268 yards last week, and the Bears rushed for 232 yards in a 23-12 victory against the Jets. But the Packers, with a healthy Jordan Love calling the shots and receivers Christian Watson and Matthew Golden showing flashes of breaking out this season, are seen as valuable. The model says the Packers win in 47% of simulations as plus-money home underdogs at Lambeau Field.
Then you’ve got the Colts and Steelers. Pittsburgh has been all over the place, beating the Bengals and Falcons but losing to the Patriots and Browns. Aaron Rodgers has piled up 591 passing yards over the past two games, but the defense allowed 27 points in both of those. The Colts, meanwhile, have won two in a row, including a 30-13 triumph against the Commanders in London. They gave up a wild 71 points over their first two games but then tightened things up, only allowing 30 over their two recent wins. The SportsLine model has the Colts winning 53% of the time at plus-money, with its strongest play on them to cover, which they do in 58% of simulations, earning an ‘A’ grade.
This Sunday, all eyes in the Emerald City are on Lumen Field. Our Hawks getting that 3-point favor over the Niners? It’s a statement. Get ready, Seattle, because this NFC West battle is going to be electric.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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