That “above-average slate of opponents” the New England Patriots were supposed to face this season? Yeah, not so much. After just four weeks, it looks like New England’s schedule might be a lot easier than anyone thought, putting the 2-2 team in a prime spot to make some noise in the AFC.
From Tough Talk to Easy Street
Last season, everyone talked about the Patriots’ supposedly easy schedule, which helped them snag a division title, a playoff berth, and ultimately the Super Bowl. Coming into 2026, things were supposed to be different. The team was lined up against what looked like a much tougher run, ranking as the sixth-hardest schedule based on last year’s win-loss totals, and 10th based on projected win totals. But man, the early returns are already flipping that script. If you look at traditional win-loss rates, only three other clubs have it easier down the stretch than these current 2-2 Patriots. It’s like deja vu all over again!
The Numbers Don’t Lie, Even the Complex Ones
Even if you ditch the basic win-loss rates and look at something more in-depth, like Pro Football Focus’ point spread rating, the story is the same: New England’s schedule from here on out just got way more manageable. While some teams, like the Raiders, Chiefs, and 49ers, have had it easy so far and are about to hit a brutal stretch playing each other, and the Lions have had it easy and will keep it that way, the data is pointing to a clear path for the Patriots.
Now, don’t get it twisted, those remaining 13 games won’t be a cakewalk. There are still potential pitfalls, like teams getting healthier at key positions (hello, Chicago Bears) or squads hitting their stride at just the right time (looking at you, Green Bay Packers). Plus, there are some challenging circumstances built into the schedule itself, like two Thursday night games or that trip to face the Detroit Lions in Germany. Anything can happen in this league, no doubt about it.
Momentum in the Making
Still, what this early trend shows more than anything is that the Patriots have a real shot to build some serious momentum. They’re 2-2 and already sitting inside the AFC playoff picture, so this change in schedule could be exactly what they need after a pretty challenging four-game start. Of course, internal improvement, both performance-wise and health-wise, is always key. But having a schedule that could help them out? Yeah, that’s a welcome boost, and it’s something the rest of the league needs to notice as New England looks to keep this early season run going.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Pats Pulpit.
Leave a Reply