One-third of the NFL season is already behind us, and things are getting absolutely wild out there. The Rams, who were preseason favorites to win the Super Bowl, are sitting at a shocking 2-4 through six games. Seriously, who saw that coming? And it gets even crazier: “The Browns to lead the AFC North was not on anybody’s Bingo card this year,” said Joey Feazel, head of football trading at Caesars Sports. That’s the kind of shake-up that makes you double-take!
Week 7 is Bringing the Heat
So, Week 7 is here, and there are some absolute bangers on the docket. Can the Rams somehow right the ship against an improved Raiders squad? And for the big FOX America’s Game of the Week, everyone is watching the Packers-Lions showdown. Green Bay got off to a rough start, going 1-2 straight up and 0-3 against the spread, even getting blown out by the Falcons 35-14 in Week 3. But talk about a turnaround! They’ve won and cashed their last three, moving to a solid 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Plus, superstar running back Josh Jacobs is back from the Commissioner’s Exempt List and is good to go. That’s huge for their run game.
Lions-Packers Total is Exploding
Now, the Detroit Lions have been a bit of a rollercoaster, alternating wins and losses over their first five games to hit 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS. But they absolutely torched Arizona 45-21 on the road in Week 5 for their best scoring effort of the season, then rolled into a Week 6 bye. Caesars Sports opened the Lions as 3-point home favorites against Green Bay, bumped it to -3.5, and then settled back at -3, where it sits now at -115 for Sunday’s 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX. We saw some sharp money jump on the Packers at +3.5, but Feazel from Caesars said the money has mostly poured in on the Lions, especially since they’re fresh off that bye week.
But here’s the real kicker: the total for this game. Caesars opened it at 52.5 and it’s already shot up to 53.5. That’s three points higher than any other total in Week 7! Feazel isn’t surprised, saying, “That high total has garnered some Over money. Both teams are playing well, and bettors know the Lions don’t have a good defense but know how to score.” He doesn’t “anticipate the Over money stopping.” When the sharps and the public both smell blood, you know it’s gonna be a shootout.
Unbeaten 49ers See Crazy Money Shift, Bears are Back!
Before that Lions-Packers game, we’ve got the 49ers versus the Falcons at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. San Francisco is one of just three unbeaten teams in the league at a perfect 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS. But don’t sleep on Atlanta, even if their 2-4 SU and ATS record looks rough. Their backfield, with Bijan Robinson and Brian Robinson, is seriously talented. DraftKings opened the Niners as 4.5-point road favorites, but that line has steadily dropped to -3.5 on Monday and then to -3 on Wednesday. And get this: while 67% of spread bets are on San Francisco, a massive 86% of the early *money* is on the home underdog Falcons! That’s a wild difference in opinion right there.
Elsewhere, Caleb Williams has totally found his groove for the Bears, who are now 4-2 SU and ATS. He was absolutely surgical in their 31-23 road win over the Falcons in Week 6, completing 30 of 36 passes, including his first dozen straight! And the Patriots are on a roll too, hitting 4-2 SU and ATS after winning three in a row. It’s a crazy league right now!
As we dive deeper into Week 7, every game feels like it has massive implications. Will the public money on the Lions’ total pay off in a high-scoring thriller? Can the Falcons’ talented backfield surprise the undefeated 49ers, especially with that sharp money coming in on the underdog? And are the Rams really in a freefall or can they pull it together? Keep your eyes glued to these matchups, because the NFL season is just heating up, and anything can happen!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Fox Sports.
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