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The Sounders’ 24% Playoff Shot and Why Nobody in MLS is Ready For What Comes Next

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Mls logo on gradient background — Created by the Sports On Tap desk | Source : Sports On Tap (team logos property of their respective owners)

A 24% chance of making the MLS Cup Playoffs? Seriously, that’s what one source is saying about our Seattle Sounders right now, and if that doesn’t boil your blood, you ain’t bleeding Rave Green. That number is way too low for a club with our history and the sheer talent we’ve got on the pitch. We’ve all seen the mess, what made it worse, and what put the cherry on top of that whole sundae of frustration. But hear me out, we’ve got 12 matches left to flip the script.

We’re Not Settling For Seventh, Period

Yeah, 12 matches left for Brian Schmetzer’s squad: six at home in the Emerald City and six on the road. Here’s the kicker: that’s more games remaining than any other team in the Western Conference, and two or three more than nine teams currently above us. That’s a huge opportunity, right? Even a tiny streak of good results could bump us up to 7th. A longer run could make us look like a good team, even stuck in 7th. But let’s be real, 7th place is both our best-case *and* middle-case scenario. We probably aren’t climbing above 1.60 points per match, meaning we’d only get one home game in the playoffs. That’s not good enough. Not even a miracle run to 6th or 5th is good enough for this fanbase. Dreaming of fourth? Honestly, foolish.

It’s Time To Dominate, Not Rebuild

We’re past the time for a bad run-in to define a bad season. I’d much rather see a few weeks of pure dominance from the team we love, playing under those classic grey Seattle skies in the rain. That would be way more fun than anything we’ve experienced since April, even with this amazing summer around Puget Sound. We’re talking about a real streak here, with a healthier team and multiple Designated Players playing at their peak. Jordan Morris is absolutely capable of being a cornerstone of something special. None of our guys are so far off their best form that a 10 to 15-match run of awesome is out of the question. We’ve seen it: great inspires great. A spiral of fear and hopelessness can spread, too. We shouldn’t be focused on building for the future right now. That time has passed. The players we have earned their time. Look at Defiance! They got hot late, riding brilliant individual form, supported by guys people wrote off. They won, a lot. And winning, my friends, is fun. The Sounders need to remember that feeling.

This streak, this crucial turnaround, it has to kick off Saturday against the LA Galaxy. For the past decade, they’ve been more mediocre than actual ‘Galacticos,’ and right now, they’re two points ahead of us. We need to beat them, and then we need to keep that momentum rolling against the other dredges of the West. It’s time for the Sounders to prove that our sunshine can be like a black hole sun, washing away all this pain. Because you know what? This fanbase, the Rave Green faithful, we’ll show up. We’ll be there in the cold, the wet, and with all the hope in the world. We’re ready to support a winner, always have been. Catch the boys Saturday at 7:30 pm PT at the LA Galaxy. Let’s get this done.

This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.

Originally reported by Sounder at Heart.

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