ESPN’s SP+ model just dropped its prediction for the Michigan State-Nebraska game, and if you’re looking for a close one, the numbers say think again. Bill Connelly’s weekly SP+ predictions are out, and the model sees the Cornhuskers winning with relative ease over the Spartans this weekend.
SP+ Says It Won’t Even Be Close, But Vegas Disagrees
The SP+ projected final score for this matchup is Nebraska 31, Michigan State 21. That’s a solid 10-point margin, putting some real distance between the two teams. What’s wild is how much this differs from what the oddsmakers are saying. FanDuel currently has Nebraska favored by just 5.5 points. That’s a significant gap between the analytics and the betting line, making you wonder what the SP+ sees that everyone else is missing. I mean, I wasn’t shocked to see the model pick Nebraska, but a double-digit spread? That definitely caught me off guard.
First Real Test For Both Teams
Michigan State rolls into this game at 2-1 overall, but they’re coming off their first loss of the season last week against Notre Dame. This is a huge chance for them to bounce back and open conference play strong. On the other side, Nebraska is 3-0, but they’ve gotten those wins against what the source called “lower-tier competition,” even handling North Dakota of the FCS level just last weekend. This Saturday marks Nebraska’s first true test of the season, and honestly, it’s hard to know how good they *really* are given their schedule so far. That uncertainty makes it tough to have a super strong opinion on the SP+ prediction. We’re gonna learn a lot about both teams when they hit the field.
So, get ready to find out! Kickoff from Spartan Stadium is set for 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, and you can catch all the action live on the Big Ten Network. This is where we see if the SP+ is a genius or if Vegas knows something more. It’s going to be a fascinating watch to see which team truly emerges in this early conference battle.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.
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