SportsLine’s computer model, after running a wild 10,000 simulations, just dropped its top MLB picks for Tuesday, July 21, and if you successfully parlay its three confident bets, you’re looking at a payout north of +800. This model isn’t messing around either, rolling into Week 18 of the MLB season on an absolute heater, going 35-21 on all top-rated MLB picks. You cannot ignore that kind of consistent heat.
The Cubs Are Going to Torch the Tigers, Says the Model
One of the key pieces of this massive parlay? The Chicago Cubs (-119) against the Detroit Tigers. Yeah, the Tigers snagged Game 1 of the series, but let’s be real, the Cubs are a vastly superior squad from a season-long perspective, sitting at 56-44 compared to Detroit’s 47-53. What does that 47-53 record mean for the Tigers? It means they’re likely sellers as we stare down the August 3 trade deadline. That’s a huge tell about where that team is heading.
To make matters worse for Detroit, Framber Valdez is on the mound, and the Tigers are a dreadful 8-11 in his starts this year. If you’ve been backing them with Valdez pitching, you’ve already lost $337 on the money line in those outings. The model knows this pain, projecting a 4.9 to 4.2 win for the Cubs and giving them the victory in 63% of simulations. That’s a confident call right there.
This Model Crushes Bets and Has Two More Underdogs for You
This isn’t some rookie algorithm; this thing is proven. In 2025, it absolutely dominated home run prop picks, returning nearly 30 units of profit for anyone who listened. We’re talking serious returns for savvy bettors following its insights. Beyond the Cubs pick, the model has locked in two more “must-see underdog picks” that push this potential payout even higher, well past that +800 mark. It is not just about finding favorites; it is about finding value in those surprise upsets that can truly make your night.
Tonight, Tuesday, July 21, the first pitch of 15 scheduled games is at 6:40 p.m. ET. We’re in the first full week after the All-Star break, and every single game has big implications for the MLB playoff picture. Teams are making brutal decisions right now about whether they are buyers or sellers at the upcoming trade deadline. It is a wild time in baseball, and this model is here to guide you through the chaos.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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