Listen up, because after starting 0-3 in Week 1, I’ve absolutely *nailed* seven of my last eight NFL underdog recommendations. Last week alone, it was a clean sweep: the Patriots (+7 at Buffalo), Dolphins (+10 at Minnesota), and Raiders (+4.5 vs. Kansas City) all cashed big. Underdogs have been crushing it at the betting window lately, going 20-10-2 ATS over the last two weeks, with a ridiculous 15 of those 20 pulling off outright upsets. So yeah, I’m on a heater, and I’m telling you right now: the undefeated Minnesota Vikings are frauds, and the Saints (+2) are about to expose them in Week 5.
Exposing Minnesota’s Sham Record
How can an undefeated team be a fraud? Easy: just look at the Vikings’ scoring. These guys, who are somehow 9-0 over the past ten months, scored almost as many points in the second half of Week 1 (29 points in their 39-22 comeback win against Green Bay) as they have in their *other fourteen quarters combined* (39 points)! Think about that. Four touchdowns came in that one single Week 1 second half. Otherwise, their offense has found the end zone only three times in four games, and one of those was a punt return at Tampa Bay in Week 3. That’s six total offensive touchdowns in four games. And their standout wide receiver, Justin Jefferson, who’s nursing a sprained ankle and questionable for Sunday, has *two* of those scores. That offense is straight up garbage, whether Jefferson plays gimpy or not. Yeah, their defense has been sensational, giving up only four touchdowns all season and just one in the last three weeks. But their offense is not sustainable, and it’s time someone called them out.
Why the Saints (+2) Are the Smart Bet
Now, let’s talk about the New Orleans Saints. Their defense got shredded Monday night against Atlanta, giving up six touchdowns in 60 minutes. And yeah, they’ve coughed up 31, 35, and 45 points in their three losses this season. But don’t forget, this is the same defense that held Lamar Jackson, Derek Henry, and the Ravens to a mere 17 points in a Week 2 road win! And their second-year quarterback Tyler Shough has this offense putting up at least 24 points in every single game so far, and in seven of their last nine. They might have laid a massive egg against the Falcons, but this team also nearly beat Detroit in Week 1, pulling within a 2-point conversion. They *did* pull off that upset in Baltimore. They even had a double-digit second-half lead against the resurgent Raiders in Week 3 before the D collapsed. I’m not worried about a defensive collapse this Sunday, not against the Vikings’ anemic offense.
So, yeah, my money is firmly on the Saints (+2). Will I be bragging about a 10-1 heater next week? We’re about to find out. This Week 5 slate has serious potential for more underdog wins. And don’t sleep on the Browns, who’ve ripped off three straight wins, their first streak like that since mid-2023. Are they ‘for real’? Jury’s still out. But are they better than the Jets, whose only win this year was against a 0-4 Titans team that’s 6-32 since 2024? The Jets have a pathetic twelve victories in their last 52 games. This Week 5 is shaping up to be another wild one, and I’m here for it.
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by Yahoo Sports.
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