Matt Severance from SportsLine is dropping some heavy-duty home run prop picks for Friday, August 21, and the top of his list? Rays All-Star Yandy Diaz, coming in at a sweet +507 on DraftKings. This isn’t just a random pick, either, it’s for the first game in a massively important AL East series between the first-place Rays and those wild-card hopeful Orioles, going down at hitter-friendly Camden Yards.
The Bombs Away Picks for Friday
Diaz is the headliner, but Severance also has his eye on Randal Grichuk from the White Sox, sitting at +320 on FanDuel. Severance isn’t just pulling these names out of a hat, either. Over the past four MLB seasons, this guy is up a whopping $1,681 on his MLB picks! He puts his full picks out on SportsLine and in his member-exclusive Discord, so you know he’s dialed in. Last Friday’s picks saw Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at +508, who had a hit against the Yankees but got sidelined after a collision, landing him on the seven-day concussion injured list. Crazy part? Vlad Jr. hasn’t even homered at home this season. Rafael Devers, picked at +560 for the Giants, delivered a double and an RBI against Colorado. Severance mentioned that for these kinds of home run props, he actually likes the Over 1.5 total bases bet even more. Smart.
Who’s Chasing the Crown and What Could Have Been
Beyond tonight’s dingers, the race for the MLB home run champion title is heating up with only 37 days left in the regular season. Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber is leading the pack with 37 homers, sitting as the +130 favorite. Hot on his heels, just one back, are Houston’s Yordan Alvarez (+200) and Atlanta’s Matt Olson (+250), each with 36. Talk about a tight finish! And then there’s the wild card prop from DraftKings: will Cubs star Pete Crow-Armstrong hit a 40-homer, 40-steal season? He’s currently got 31 of each. “Yes” is a longshot at +1100, while “No” is at -2500. It’d be incredible if he pulled it off, especially since he’s already the tenth player in baseball history with consecutive 30-30 seasons. Meanwhile, one potentially great betting situation got wrecked when Colorado’s starting pitcher Michael Lorenzen (3-8, 7.08 ERA) was designated for assignment earlier in the week, taking away some juicy Guardians matchups.
Keep your eyes glued to those scoreboards tonight to see if Severance’s picks make some noise. With the regular season winding down fast, every single swing, every single game, just means more. Get ready for some fireworks!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
Leave a Reply