SportsLine’s advanced computer model, racking up over $7,000 for $100 players since its inception, has just dropped its NFL best bets for Week 1. This thing’s been on an absolute tear, running a ridiculous 53-37 on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. If you’ve been following it, you’d be seeing some serious returns right now.
NFL Week 1 Kicks Off With Wild Matchups and New QBs
Get ready, because the NFL Week 1 schedule officially begins in just four days! We’re talking must-see matchups right out of the gate. You’ve got those classic divisional brawls like the Chiefs vs. Broncos, with Denver getting 2.5 points, and the Cowboys vs. Giants, where New York also gets 2.5. Plus, Aaron Rodgers is making what’s being called his “last ride” in Steelers vs. Falcons, with Atlanta favored by 3.5 points.
But here’s a true Week 1 curiosity: Dolphins vs. Raiders. This is the *only* opening game guaranteed to feature two new starting quarterbacks. Miami’s Malik Willis is going to duel it out with Kirk Cousins, who gets the nod for Vegas, while the No. 1 pick, Fernando Mendoza, starts out as the backup. The Raiders, who went 7-10 against the spread last year, are a 3.5-point favorite. This one’s tight, just like a dozen other games this week with a spread under 4 points.
The Model’s Strongest Bets Are Locked In
Alright, let’s get to the good stuff. The model’s strongest Week 1 NFL picks are here, and they’re bold. First up, it’s absolutely hammering the Jaguars (-7.5, 40.5) to cover at home versus Cleveland in that Sunday 1 p.m. ET kickoff. This isn’t just a hunch; the model has the Jags prevailing against the spread in nearly 60% of simulations! Why so confident? Jacksonville had a league-best 12-5 ATS mark last regular season, and they were even better at home, covering in a staggering 78% of their games, which was also the best record in the NFL. Cleveland, on the other hand? Woof. They were 2-6 ATS on the road, the second-worst mark in the league. Plus, the model has the Over hitting in 64% of simulations for that game.
The model also loves the Eagles (-5.5, 44.5) to cover their spread. Philly fans gotta be feeling good about that!
Four days, folks, and Week 1 is ON! Will this advanced model keep printing money for those who follow? You gotta tune in and see if these bold picks pay off. Get ready for some football!
This article was created with AI assistance and published under Seattle On Tap’s editorial standards. See our Editorial Policy.
Originally reported by CBS Sports.
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